Sports: 2010 NIT Bracketology

NIT Bracket at ESPN.

26 out of 32 - Six whiffs

1. Florida went up to the NCAA and VTech came down
2. Lipscomb was replaced by Jacksonville due to a change in the Atlantic Sun tie-breaking rules I was unaware of.
3. Apologies to William and Mary fans! I figured two would be in from the CAA and I was wrong about VCU but right about Northeastern. W&M was on my "just out" watch list.
4-5. Also on my "just out" watch list that went up was NC State and Illinois St.
6. Northwestern went up and they weren't on my "just out" watch list.
Thus, the 4 bump ups kicked out VCU, Marshall, Portland and South Carolina.

Thanks to all who have been dropping by. Best of success to your teams on Selection (NCAA and NIT) Sunday!

We are locked in and calling it a night.

No more updates until the NIT field is announced Sunday night!

Barely in NCAA - could be bumped out by Miss St win
G. Tech, UNLV, Notre Dame, Minnesota

Top NIT - very slim shot at NCAA
(1) Florida, Mississippi, Dayton, Rhode Island
Solid NIT
(2) Az St, Memphis, Seton Hall, UAB
(3) Wichita St., U Conn, Cincy, Miss St (if they lose to UK)/Minn (if Miss St beats UK and OSU beats them)
(4) Illinois, VCU, S. Florida
(5) St. John's, Marshall, Tulsa, Texas Tech
(6) North Carolina, Nevada, Portland, Northeastern
(7) South Carolina
In NIT via automatic bid
(4) Kent State
(7) Weber State, Troy, Quinnipiac
(8) Jackson State, Stony Brook, Coastal Carolina, Lipscomb

Just out
William and Mary, Miami, St. Louis, Illinois St.
Charlotte, NC St., Alabama, Arizona

Sunday's games
A10 - Temple vs. Richmond, both NCAA bound
ACC - Duke vs. G. Tech, Duke in; G. Tech needs win or risks bubble burst
Big10 - Ohio State vs. Minnesota, Ohio State is in. Minn probably in even without win but bubble burst if Miss St wins.
SEC - Kentucky vs. Miss St., UK is in, Miss St goes to NCAA with win, NIT with loss

Automatic Bid to NIT if they lose their tournament in one-bid conferences
America East - Stony Brook lost in semis, going to NIT; Vermont goes to NCAA
Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb lost in 1st round, going to NIT, ETSU goes to NCAA
Big Sky - Weber State lost in finals, goes to NIT, Montana goes to NCAA
Big South - Coastal Carolina lost in finals, going to NIT, Winthrop goes to NCAA
Big West - UCSB going to NCAA!
Colonial - Old Dominion University, going to NCAA!
CUSA - UTEP to NCAA as at-large; Houston goes to NCAA
Horizon - Butler, going to NCAA!
Ivy - Cornell, going to NCAA, no tournament
MAAC - Siena, going to NCAA!
MAC - Kent State, lost in quarters, going to NIT; Ohio goes to NCAA
MEAC - Morgan State goes to NCAA
MVC - Northern Iowa, going to NCAA!
NEC - Quinnipiac goes to NIT losing to Robert Morris which goes to NCAA.
Ohio Valley - Murray State is going to the NCAA!
Patriot - Lehigh is going to the NCAA!
Southern - Wofford is going to the NCAA!
Southland - Sam Houston going to NCAA!
Summit - Oakland is going to the NCAA!
Sun Belt - Troy lost in finals, going to NIT, UNT goes to NCAA!
SWAC - Jackson State, lost in quarters, going to NIT, Ark PB goes to NCAA
WAC - Utah State, at-large for NCAA, New Mexico St. to NCAA!

FAQ ... though no one has asked for one!
1. Why forecast the NIT field?
If you have to ask then you don't understand what it means to be a sports fan!
2. What are your qualifications for predicting the NIT bids?
None! I'm just a "blogger in pajamas" as they say. Last year, I did get 29 of 32 correct which isn't too bad for someone who doesn't make a living reporting on sports.
3. Can I do it too?
Sure! There are many rating systems of college basketball teams on the internet. First, figure out which teams are going into the NCAA. Then try to figure out who are the best 32 teams that are still left.
4. How many people actually check this stuff out?
Amazingly, in March of 2009, this web site had a nearly 10 fold increase in traffic due to the 2009 NIT Bracketology.
5. Who else is doing this?
As far as I know, NITology and NIT Bracketproject are at it again. Blogging the Bracket has arrived on the scene.

8 comments:

Rene said...

As of 2/13/2010
Barely in NCAA
Mississippi, Oklahoma St, Marquette, Charlotte
Top NIT - could still get into NCAA
(1) Va Tech, Louisville, San Diego St, Texas Tech
Solid NIT
(2) Washington, UConn, Miss St, VCU
(3) Seton Hall, South Florida, Cincy, Wichita St
(4) Miami-FL, Arizona St, Tulsa, South Carolina
(5) Memphis, William & Mary, Notre Dame, Minn
(6) Arizona, UNC, Northwestern, Nevada
(7) La Tech, Virginia, St John, Oklahoma
NIT Bubble
(8) Marshall, Missouri St, Portland, Boston College
Just out
Harvard, Wright St, Alabama, Georgia
NC St, Wofford, Iowa St, Montana

Rene said...

As of 3/7/2010

Barely in NCAA
St Mary, URI, Dayton, UAB
Top NIT - could still get into NCAA
(1) UConn, SDSU, AZ St, Seton Hall
Solid NIT
(2) Mississippi St., Mississippi, Cincinnati, Washington
(3) Texas Tech, Wichita St., VA Commonwealth, Memphis
(4) Charlotte, Notre Dame, Marshall, Minnesota
(5) South Florida, Miami (FL), St. John's, Louisana Tech
(6) Tulsa, South Carolina, William & Mary, Nevada
(7) North Carolina, Northwestern, Portland, Missouri State
NIT Bubble
(8) Illinois St., Boston College, Wright St., Wofford
Just out
New Mexico St., Arizona, Georgia, Saint Louis
Virginia, Alabama, Iona, Harvard

Rene said...

As of 3/8/2010

Barely in NCAA
St Mary, URI, Dayton, UAB
Top NIT - could still get into NCAA
(1) UConn, SDSU, AZ St, Seton Hall
Solid NIT
(2) Mississippi St., Mississippi, Cincinnati, Washington
(3) Texas Tech, Wichita St., VA Commonwealth, Memphis
(4) Charlotte, Notre Dame, Marshall, Minnesota
(5) South Florida, Miami (FL), St. John's, Louisana Tech
(6) Tulsa, South Carolina, William & Mary, Nevada
NIT Bubble
(7) North Carolina, Northwestern, Portland, Missouri State
(8) Illinois St., Boston College
In NIT via automatic bid
(8) Coastal Carolina, Lipscomb
Just out
Wright St., Wofford, New Mexico St., Arizona, Georgia, Saint Louis
Virginia, Alabama, Iona, Harvard
Automatic Bid to NIT if they lose their tournament
America East - Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb lost in 1st round, going to NIT, ETSU goes to NCAA
Big Sky - Weber State
Big South - Coastal Carolina lost in finals, going to NIT, Winthrop goes to NCAA
Big West - UCSB
Colonial - Old Dominion University, possible NCAA at-large
CUSA - UTEP, possible NCAA at-large
Horizon - Butler, probable NCAA at-large
Ivy - Cornell, going to NCAA, no tournament
MAAC - Siena
MAC - Kent State
MEAC - Morgan State
MVC - Northern Iowa, possible at-large for NCAA
NEC - Quinnipiac
Ohio Valley - Murray State is going to the NCAA
Pac10 - California, is there a scenario where they get relegated to NIT? Probably not!
Patriot - Lehigh
Southern - Wofford
Southland - Sam Houston
Summit - Oakland
Sun Belt - Troy
SWAC - Jackson State
WAC - Utah State, possible at-large for NCAA

Rene said...

As of 3/11/2010

Barely in NCAA
Memphis, Arizona State, Notre Dame, Illinois
Top NIT - could still get into NCAA
(1) Wash, Miss, UAB, Seton Hall
Solid NIT
(2) Rhode Island, UConn, Dayton, Wichita St.
(3) Miss St., Cincy, S. Florida, Minnesota
(4) Marshall, VCU, Tulsa, St. John's
(5) North Carolina, Texas Tech, Charlotte, William & Mary
NIT Bubble
(6) Nevada, Northeastern, South Carolina, Portland
In NIT via automatic bid
(7) Kent State, Jackson State, Weber State, Quinnipiac
(8) Troy, Stony Brook, Coastal Carolina, Lipscomb
Just out
St. Louis, Arizona, Illinois St., Alabama, Wright State, Boston College, La Tech, Miami
NC St., New Mexico St., Iowa St., Missouri St., Northwestern
Iona, Georgia, Harvard
Automatic Bid to NIT if they lose their tournament
America East - Stony Brook lost in semis, going to NIT
Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb lost in 1st round, going to NIT, ETSU goes to NCAA
Big Sky - Weber State lost in finals, goes to NIT, Montana goes to NCAA
Big South - Coastal Carolina lost in finals, going to NIT, Winthrop goes to NCAA
Big West - UCSB
Colonial - Old Dominion University, going to NCAA!
CUSA - UTEP, possible NCAA at-large
Horizon - Butler, going to NCAA!
Ivy - Cornell, going to NCAA, no tournament
MAAC - Siena, going to NCAA!
MAC - Kent State, lost in quarters, going to NIT
MEAC - Morgan State
MVC - Northern Iowa, going to NCAA!
NEC - Quinnipiac goes to NIT losing to Robert Morris which goes to NCAA.
Ohio Valley - Murray State is going to the NCAA!
Patriot - Lehigh
Southern - Wofford is going to the NCAA!
Southland - Sam Houston
Summit - Oakland is going to the NCAA!
Sun Belt - Troy lost in finals, going to NIT, UNT goes to NCAA!
SWAC - Jackson State, lost in quarters, going to NIT
WAC - Utah State, possible at-large for NCAA

Rene said...

as of 3/12/2010

Barely in NCAA
Washington, Florida, Mississippi, Illinois
Top NIT - could still get into NCAA
(1) Dayton, Rhode Island, Az St., Memphis
Solid NIT
(2) Seton Hall, UAB, Wichita St., UConn
(3) Cincy, Miss St., Minn
(4) VCU, S. Florida, St. John's, Marshall
(5) Tulsa, Texas Tech, North Carolina, Nevada
NIT Bubble
(6) Portland, Northeastern, William and Mary, South Carolina,
(7) Miami
In NIT via automatic bid
(3) Kent State
(7) Weber State, Troy, Quinnipiac
(8) Jackson State, Stony Brook, Coastal Carolina, Lipscomb
Just out
St. Louis, Illinois St., Charlotte, NC St.
Alabama, La Tech, Arizona, Wright St.

Unknown said...

Thanks for this! I'll be shooting an NIT game on the 16th and I've been following these posts to get an idea of where I might be headed. Let you know tomorrow!

Anonymous said...

VCU a Solid NIT choice? Who are you kidding... Go W&M, represent the CAA...

Rene said...

Thanks Raneman for dropping by. Hope you have a great time covering the NIT where ever they send you!

And to William and Mary fans, I am not worthy!

I figured only 2 would go from the CAA and I over-rated VCU and under-rated W&M. Go Tribe!

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