Politics: Updated Delegate Math - Closing on 1144

Tonight is the Louisiana Primary and Santorum should win this one. Nonetheless, the math is not looking good for Santorum.

The assumptions below:
Santorum wins: Louisiana, Missouri, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Nebraska, Kentucky, Arkansas, Texas, South Dakota, Montana.
Romney wins: DC, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware and Utah.
The two more or less tie in all the other states.

Under these scenarios, Romney gets very close to the needed 1144. Thus, he just needs to over-perform in a few of the above projected locations and he gets over the 1144.

state	date	delegates	romney	santorum	gingrich	paul
			560	246	141	66
Louisiana	24-Mar	46	15	31	0	0
Wisconsin	3-Apr	42	21	21	0	0
Maryland	3-Apr	37	18	19	0	0
District of Columbia	3-Apr	19	19	0	0	0
Missouri	21-Apr	52	17	35	0	0
New York	24-Apr	95	47	48	0	0
Pennsylvania	24-Apr	72	23	49	0	0
Connecticut	24-Apr	28	18	10	0	0
Rhode Island	24-Apr	19	12	7	0	0
Delaware	24-Apr	17	17	0	0	0
North Carolina	8-May	55	27	28	0	0
Indiana	8-May	46	23	23	0	0
West Virginia	8-May	31	10	21	0	0
Nebraska	15-May	35	11	24	0	0
Oregon	15-May	28	14	14	0	0
Kentucky	22-May	45	14	31	0	0
Arkansas	22-May	36	11	25	0	0
Texas	29-May	155	51	104	0	0
California	5-Jun	172	86	86	0	0
New Jersey	5-Jun	50	25	25	0	0
South Dakota	5-Jun	28	9	19	0	0
Montana	5-Jun	26	8	18	0	0
New Mexico	5-Jun	23	11	12	0	0
Utah	26-Jun	40	40	0	0	0
total			1107	896	141	66