Monday, November 01, 2004

election prediction

Popular vote: 49-49 with either Bush or Kerry winning by 500,000 to 1,000,000 votes nationally.

Electoral votes: two scenarios -- (1) an early end to the evening where Bush pulls off the trifecta in PA, FL and OH and rolls to a win with around 300 electoral votes; (2) the night drags on and on which I think favors Kerry who would then win with a little over the minimum 270.

My wild guess Bush 309 Kerry 229.

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