Latest polling data at RCP ... check it out. Obama looks to be in for a win but it isn't clear whether it will be double digits. McCain is narrowly ahead with one poll giving Romney the lead. I think it will be very close and Romney could just as easily win by a percentage or lose by a percentage. I think the thought of an aging McCain going up against a youthful Obama might work against McCain.
My guesses ...
Obama 43
Clinton 32
Edwards 20
McCain 34
Romney 33
Huckabee 12
Giuliani 10
UPDATE: As of 9:29pm:
Clinton 39%
Obama 37%
Edwards 17%
McCain 37%
Romney 32%
Huckabee 11%
Giuliani 9%
Clearly, the shocker was Clinton's victory. I bought into the tidal wave. I should have known better that the party bosses and the mainstream older democratic voters would respond to the shock to the system. It was a case of the "Empire Strikes Back." The old guard of the party will not go quietly and hand over the keys to the kingdom to the new kids on the block. Barring scandals or major blunders it is going to go down the wire as the "grown ups" in the Democratic party will ask, are we really ready to put all our hopes in someone with so little experience? While the youngsters are saying, its our time, its our turn.
Meanwhile, the GOP pretty much ran according to form with McCain winning. The Romney camp can keep going but they need a high profile win somewhere to establish themselves. Sorry, Wyoming, your caucus going for Romney doesn't count as a high profile win. Michigan is the next big fight and Romney needs a win there.
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